AFC Championship Free NFL Pick: New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers


Our Free NFC Championship Pick is in, and now it's time to see who will represent the AFC in the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45).

As we mentioned earlier today, we've been riding the dogs to a 4-0 Free NFL Playoff Pick record--all of whom have won straight their matchups straight up. That includes these plucky Jets, 9 1/2 point dogs last week in New England and all.

It's our longterm philosophy to not bet on money lines and rather stick straight to spreads, but the way we are picking winners this postseason, we may need to rethink that bogus philosophy, because it would have led to an even more profitable 2011 NFL season that has seen our Free NFL Picks hit 62%.

And, in case you forgot, these picks are completely free, outperforming those of many paid "expert" sites. Free, unless you count shamelessly requesting donations via the Paypal button the left.

Anyway, as we said earlier, we expect another dog day afternoon on Sunday on the way to the Super Bowl in North Texas. Our Free AFC Championship Pick:

New York Jets +3 1/2 over the Pittsburgh Steelers

This one, we feel, is a little tricker than in the NFC. In the NFC we have an underrated home dog against an injury riddled public darling. In the AFC, we have about exactly what you'd expect. A quality football team laying just over a field goal at home against a team they are slightly better than--even though Pittsburgh fell to New York earlier this year.

But, in what could be a defensive smashmouth type of game, we like the points. And speaking of mouths, we like Rex Ryan and the Jets. Like the Packers, they are a hot 6-seed taking down quality opponents on their way to the conference championship game. But they are up against a team that is properly valued, having won two Super Bowls in the last six years, and therefore have been lost in the shuffle a bit.

And so it is. We're riding these playoff dogs like it's the Iditarod, all the way to 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45). See you there, Jets (or Steelers by a field goal).