NFC Championship Free NFL Pick: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears

The NFC and AFC Championship games--our last roadblock before we begin our coverage of the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45), take place this weekend, and we're using our Saturday to deliver our Free NFL Picks on both games.

Our Free NFL Picks that, oh by the way, are hitting 62% this season, including a perfect 4-0 mark in the playoffs. So technically, the team we pick to lose has only a 38% chance of covering the spread. Or is it even less than that?

All four of our Free NFL Playoff Picks have been underdogs. All four have gone on to not only cover, but also win their matchup straight up. And we're riding the dogs all the way to the Super Bowl with our Free NFC Championship Pick:

Chicago Bears +3 1/2 over the Green Bay Packers

The Packers are good. We've gathered as much from their impressive run in the playoffs. They are, as dubbed both by themselves and the national media, the hottest team in all of football. We have a hard time disagreeing. But this is a division game--on the road. For the Bears, the division winner and 2-seed in the NFC, mind you--to be dogs by more than a field goal is almost unheard of.

The public loves the Packers, and with good reason. Like we said, they have a ton of talent. The more talented team, though, doesn't always win, particularly on the road against a divisional rival. At the very least, the more talented team doesn't always cover. And you should always, ALWAYS beware of the home dog. We'll take the Bears and the points.

So, who will the Bears face in Super Bowl XLV? Don't worry, our Free AFC Championship Pick will be up shortly. Stay tuned as we spend our Saturday doing what we've done at a 62% clip this season--picking NFL winners.