2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) Prop Bet: The Black Eyed Peas (Fergie) Halftime Show


Leading up to the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) between the Green Bay Packers and Pittsburgh Steelers, we'll be taking a look at Super Bowl proposition betting, or more specifically, the fun or funny Super Bowl 45 (XLV) prop bets that you hear so much about. That includes props on the Super Bowl coin toss, Super Bowl halftime show, Super Bowl National Anthem, Super Bowl postgame Gatorade Shower dump and much more. Follow along on the Super Bowl sidebar to the right!

Our Super Bowl prop betting extravaganza continues with more 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) prop bets that may or may not have anything to do with the actual game between the Steelers and Packers. OK, scratch that, they ABSOLUTELY have nothing to do with the actual game--but isn't that exactly what makes Super Bowl prop betting so fun? Yes, yes it is.

After roughly 30 minutes of actual football are played on Super Sunday, Fergie and the Black Eyed Peas will perform at the 2011 Super Bowl XLV (45) Halftime Show. This is quite possibly reason No. 3 why so many people tune into the Super Bowl (behind the game and the commercials, of course), and it would be a shame if we went on with our prop betting analysis without mentioning the Black Eyed Peas prop bets. Or, more to the point, the prop bets relating to Fergie's outfit.

Because the Super Bowl Halftime Show, for seemingly the first time since we all saw Janet Jackson's nipple, has gone with an artist under the age of 84, the Black Eyed Peas don't have as many tunes as previous halftime acts. Since it is a certainty that they play hit songs like "I Gotta Feeling" and "Boom Boom Pow," the traditional halftime act prop bet of "Which songs will (artist) perform at halftime" are out the window. Leaving us with props about the main singer's wardrobe.

We would be upset about this, but at this point bookies know that people (ourselves included) will bet on any Super Bowl prop they throw out there. Basically, we'll take what we can get.

There are two props that are widely available pertaining to Fergie's halftime outfits, and only one of them is legitimate. That said, let's get this time waster out of the way:

Will Fergie be dressed as a Dallas Cowboys Cheerleader at any point during the Halftime show?
Must be completely dressed as an authentic Dallas Cowboys Cheerleader for Yes to be graded as the winner.
Yes +500

5/1 odds? That's it? Are you kidding? This is an example of a throwaway prop bet, as we discussed earlier, and should be avoided at all costs. The books sucker thousands of people into taking these bets, offering outlandish scenarios that somehow seem plausible and offering only one option to bet on, because if the other were available, it would get pounded by anyone with a brain. So no, Fergie will not be wearing a Cowboys cheerleading outfit at the Super Bowl halftime act.

The main Fergie wardrobe prop bet gets more specific:

What will Fergie be wearing when she first appears on stage during the Super Bowl Halftime Show?
Wager is on what she is wearing first on stage. If she is not wearing any of the above all wagers will be No Action.
Skirt/Dress: EVEN
Pants (Below Knees): EVEN
Shorts (Above Knees): +350
Thong/G-String/Bikini Bottom: +1000

Even in this more detailed prop, there are options you can eliminate right away. The last option would almost certainly be nixed by the NFL, wanting to avoid any and all controversial wardrobes that may be conducive to a malfunction. OUT. The Shorts option is possible, just highly unlikely, also OUT.

So that leaves us with a 50/50 choice, appropriately given EVEN odds each. And while we can easily see a skirt or dress, we feel that there is a better than 50 percent chance that Fergie comes out rocking some tight leather pants instead. Fergie, while very attractive, is 35 years old. She's been dressing very conservatively at her more recent concerts with Black Eyed Peas, at least comparatively speaking, and we think she does so on the biggest stage she has ever played.

Of course, she might come out with no top on whatsoever, but the bottoms will probably be pants.